We will update this article throughout the season, along with all our predictions, so make sure to keep checking IndieWire for the latest news from the 2023 Emmys race. The nomination round of voting takes place from June 15 to June 26, with the official Emmy nominations announced Wednesday, July 12. The Creative Arts Emmy Awards will be presented over two consecutive nights on Saturday, September 9 and Sunday, September 10, with an edited presentation of the ceremonies to be broadcast on FXX at a later date. Finally, the 75th Annual Primetime Emmy Awards take place on Monday, September 18, and air live on FOX at 8:00 p.m. ET/ 5:00 p.m. PT.
See our previous thoughts on what to expect at the 75th Primetime Emmy Awards here.
The State of the Race
It has been fascinating to see how the Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series Emmy category has evolved in such a short time. Just 10 years ago it was necessary for the category to be combined with the one honoring TV movies. This season there were almost as many series being submitted into the category as weeks in a year.
Going into nominations voting, it seemed inevitable that Ryan Murphy’s “Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” would make the cut based on it being one of the biggest hits Netflix has ever had. Based on the winter awards season though, it also seemed like Dennis Lehane’s “Black Bird” would be a shoo-in, but that did not come to pass. Despite limited series about killers making the most noise this TV season, Emmy voters only made room for one in the end, and ironically it’s the one that has the least broad appeal on paper.
Despite it proving to be so popular, “Dahmer” faced a myriad of controversies, so it being Netflix’s only shot at winning the category would make for an uphill battle. But “Beef” was the streaming service’s ace in the hole. Both shows got a whopping 13 nominations, more than any of their fellow nominees, putting them neck and neck with each other in this particular race.
Though it was not a situation where both nominees were from the same network, it brings to mind the recent Emmy race between “The Queen’s Gambit” and “Mare of Easttown” in 2021. While the former won the big award, the latter won most of the limited series acting categories. Considering how the TV Academy voted in that race, and how Evan Peters and Niecy Nash-Betts have already won enough awards this year to be perceived as a lock in their categories, one can infer its members will choose to honor “Beef” here, while coincidentally another Evan Peters series gets highest honors for its acting.
Power Rankings:
- “Beef” (Netflix)
- “Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” (Netflix)
- “Daisy Jones and the Six” (Prime Video)
- “Fleishman Is in Trouble” (FX)
- “Obi-Wan Kenobi” (Disney+)
Will Win: “Beef”
Could Win: “Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story”
Should Win: “Fleishman Is in Trouble”
More Limited Series and TV Movie Category Predictions:
Outstanding TV Movie
Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited Series or a Movie
Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited Series or a Movie
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or a Movie
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or a Movie
To see IndieWire’s full set of predictions for the 75th Emmy Awards click here.
Last Year’s Winner: “The White Lotus”
Still Eligible: Kind of (it moved categories).
Hot Streak: The last five winners have been shows from other networks cutting into HBO’s streak attempts, but should “White House Plumbers” win, it would bring the cable network its second category win in a row.
Notable Ineligible Series: “The White Lotus: Sicily” (submitted as a Drama Series); “Class of ’09” (the season will not air in time to be eligible); “Fargo” (Season 5 was not eligible)
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